Private equity firms expect more UK deal activity in 2025, survey says

Industry:    1 month ago

Private equity firms expect an increase in deal activity in 2025, with 84% of the respondents of a survey expecting to execute at least 5 to 10 deals in 2025, according to a Deutsche Numis survey among private equity firms published on Tuesday.

Last year, only 12% of the private equity firms surveyed said they were “highly likely” to execute bolt-on acquisitions to portfolio companies.

Deutsche Numis polled 200 senior private equity professionals, who said they expect a significantly increased interest in public-to-private deals in the UK, with 26% of respondents viewing public assets as the main pipeline focus, versus 14% in 2023.

Private equity firms also expect larger transactions, according to the report, after a period of primarily “housekeeping” bolt-on deals.

The bullish outlook comes after a pick-up in dealmaking this year, as falling or stable interest rates made financing easier for buyouts.

M&A activity in the UK has increased 28.3% year to date, with financials, industrials and consumer sectors leading the way, according to LSEG data.

“Private equity investors are expecting M&A to be busier next year, supported by ongoing improvements in financing markets,” said Alec Pratt, co-head of EMEA financial sponsors M&A at Deutsche Bank.

However, despite signs of easing, a challenging debt financing environment remains the main obstacle for private equity firms. Two-thirds of the survey’s respondents considered the UK debt market challenging or “significantly challenging,” a slight decrease from 73% in 2023.

Potential regulatory changes have jumped to the second greatest challenge for the respondents of the survey, Deutsche Numis said, due to sponsors’ perceptions of an interventionist Competition and Markets Authority.

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